Cursing the darkness

Today I discovered a new blog, Illumination, written by Kevin Folta, a molecular biologist and tenured professor, whose blog tagline is:  An old adage says, “It is better to light a candle than to curse the darkness”. I think we better do both.

Gotta love that.

Anyway, I’ve been making my way through his posts.

This particular one was quite the read.  In it he gives up on trying to discuss genetically modified food with the naysayers.

Leaving the Limbaughs of the Left: Parting Thoughts on Prop37

. . . I swing from left to right on issue to issue, so my political philosophies don’t fit conveniently in a box.  However, I absolutely relate to a more left-leaning mindset, especially on social issues. It is a shame to witness the people I agree with on so many levels go completely off the deep end on the science of transgenic crops.  I expect this from the evolution hating, stem cell bashing, earth cooling goofballs on the right, but from those that allegedly embrace learning and education?

I’ve found many that oppose biotechnology to be some of the meanest, nastiest, narrow-minded people  I have ever encountered.  Those that say they honor nature, reason, and peace are such hypocrites. They too can be pointy, ignorant, arrogant and unchangeable, anchored in the mud of lies and misinformation that they refuse to be pulled out of. They blatantly shun the lifeline of logic.

Oh man, I feel your pain.  I can’t even discuss this issue with my husband.  Thom Hartmann says GMOs are bad, so it must be true, right? (Let’s just forget that whole “Argument from Authority” fallacy.)

It’s been a while since I’ve really gotten into it with any of my left-leaning friends, but then again, I’ve been otherwise occupied with making photographs. Or maybe it’s because I’ve come to the same conclusions as Kevin:  Why bother?

His post reminded me of one I wrote awhile back: Denialism, it ain’t just on the right

It frustrates me to no end to see intelligent people on the left crowing about how stupid and science-denying the right is when it comes to things like evolution and climate change and then turn around and insist that the government,  big pharma, the NIH, yada yada yada, are in cahoots to either “keep us all sick” or “kill us all.”  That cell phones will give us all cancer. That apricots will cure cancer. (Does that mean I should be munching on an apricot while on my iPhone, just to balance things out?)

In recent days I’ve tried to gently discuss the newest food fad, gluten-free food, with a co-worker who swears it is making her feel better and more energetic.  I asked her if she’d been diagnosed with Celiac disease, a real ailment that really does require restricting gluten. Oh, no, she hadn’t gone to a doctor, but cutting out flour made her feel So Much Better.  <sigh> I didn’t even bother trying to talk about confirmation bias or the bandwagon effect.  I just poured my coffee and went back to my desk.

Seriously, it’s like pissing into the wind sometimes.  Still, I suspect I’ll keep plugging.

© Carissa Snedeker

Social Media – A tool for “psychics”

I just read this interesting blog post by Mark Edward, professional mentalist, exposing the Long Island Medium.

Is Kaputo Caputo Yet? (SkepticBlog)

In addition to the standard cold reading tactics, he notes:

Like many of the latest crop of bullshit tossers making the rounds, Theresa and her savvy crew have learned from the mistakes of others like Sally Morgan, John Edward and Jimmy VanPraagh. Instead of taking chances with too much guessing, Theresa bumps-up her percentage of hits and avoids bad misses by front-loading her stage shows with a combination of techniques; some time tested like cold reading and planting previous clients they have already read for in specific seats in the audience, (ala Rosemary Altea on the Penn & teller “Bullshit!” episode I worked on) but also making use of the latest social media outlets.

In combination with selling seats through Ticketmaster and the use of credit cards, Facebook, Fousquare, Twitter and all the rest of the latest places people post private information, our own egocentric fascination with ourselves makes it easy for the techie-smart-agent or producer to make seeming miracles happen. Like the old days when the gypsy only needed to tell her sitters what they wanted to hear about themselves, we are now in an era when anyone can tell you more about yourself than you might ever want to know.

At the show we saw, at one point Theresa asked a woman, “…Why am I picking up baby clothes?” To which the woman replied, “On, that’s weird. I just put up a bunch of pictures of baby clothes on my Facebook page!”

[ . . . ]

As in the Belgian PSA posted a few weeks back – the information gathering search and destroy technique is a goldmine for the entrepreneur showman and underscores the need for caution in placing anything on the internet – especially if you plan to visit a high-end medium or buy tickets to one of their shows. I know I’m preaching to the choir once again here and it’s not likely if you are reading this you would do such a thing, but you might know someone who would – and they should be warned.

See also:

Long Island Medium: A Tall Story (Karen Stollznow)

The Skeptic’s Dictionary (an incredibly depressing read, by the way)

 

It bears repeating

A reader stumbled upon, and liked,  a post of mine from three years ago. I reread it this morning and as it relates to the post below, I thought it deserved a repeat. If there are any people still reading this blog, I hope you enjoy it.

The “Right” To Your Opinion, A Sunday Morning Reading

An excerpt from Crimes Against Logic: Exposing the Bogus Arguments of Politicians, Priests, Journalists and Other Serial Offenders by Jamie Whyte (2003)

Chapter One: The Right To Your Opinion

Rights and Duties

To see that there is really nothing at all to this idea that we have a right to our opinions we need only understand one basic point about rights, namely, that rights entail duties. I don’t mean to endorse the fashionable slogan, “No rights without responsibilities,” which is supposed to justify policies whereby the government imposes good behavior conditions on the receipt of social welfare. I mean something much more fundamental about rights: they are defined by the duties to which they give rise.

The law gives all citizens a right to life. Your right to life means that everyone else has a duty not to kill you. This is not something that a government may or may not decide to associate with your right to life; it is that right. A law that did not impose on others a duty not to kill you would fail to establish your right to life. Does your right to life mean that others have a duty to feed you, to house you, or to provide you with medical care? These are hotly debated questions, but no one doubts that the answers to these questions about others’ duties are what define and delimit the right to life.

So when anyone claims a right, first ask which duties does this right impose on others; that will tell you what the right is supposed to be. And it also provides a good test for whether there is, or should be, any such right. It will often be clear that no one really has implied the duties, or that it would be preposterous to claim they should.

[…]

Opinion Duties

What then are the duties that the right to your opinions might entail? What am I obliged to do respect this right? Let’s start from the boldest possible demands and work down to the more humble.

Does your right to your opinion oblige me to agree with you?

No. If only because that would be impossible to square with the universality of the right to an opinion. I, too, am entitled to my opinion which might contradict yours. Then we can’t both do our duty toward each other. And think of the practical implications. Everyone would have to change his mind every time he met someone with a different opinion, changing his religion, his politics, his car, his eating habits. Foreign vacations would become as life-changing as the brochures claim.

Does your right to your opinion oblige me to listen to you?

No. I haven’t the time. Many people have many opinions on many matters. You cannot walk through the West End of London without hearing some enthusiast declaring his opinions on our savior Jesus or on the Zionist conspiracy or some other topic of pressing concern. Listening to them all is practically impossible and therefore not a duty.

Does your right to your opinion oblige me to let you keep it?

This is the closest to what I think most mean when they claim a right to their opinion. They do so at just that point in an argument when they would otherwise be forced to admit error and change their position. And this is also the weakest possible interpretation of the right and thus the most likely to pass the test.

Yet, it is still too strong. We have no duty to let others keep their opinions. On the contrary, we often have a duty to try to change them. Take an obvious example. You are about to cross the street with a friend. A car is coming yet your friend still takes a stride into the road. Knowing that she is not suicidal, you infer that she is of the opinion that no cars are coming. Are you obliged to let her keep this opinion?

I say no. You ought to take every reasonable measure to change her opinion, perhaps by drawing her attention to the oncoming car, saying something like, “Look out, a car is coming.” By so doing, you have not violated her rights. Indeed, she will probably thank you. On matters like whether or not a car is about to crush them, everybody is interested in believing the truth; they will take the corrections as a favor. The same goes for any other topic. If someone is interested in believing the truth, then she will not take the presentation of contrary evidence and argument as some kind of injury.

It’s just that, on some topics, many people are not really interested in believing the truth. They might prefer if their opinion turns out to be true – that would be the icing on the cake – but truth is not too important. Most of my friends, though subscribing to no familiar religion, claim to believe in a “superior intelligence” or “something higher than us.” Yet they will also cheerfully admit the absence of even a shred of evidence. Never mind. There is no cost in error, because the claim is so vague that is has no implications for action (unlike the case of the oncoming car). They just like believing it, perhaps because it would be nice if it were true, or because it helps them to get along with their religious parents, or for some other reason.

But truth really is not the point, and it is most annoying to be pressed on the matter. And to register this, to make it clear that truth is neither here nor there, they declare, “I am entitled to my opinion.” Once you hear these words it is simple rudeness to persist with the matter. You may be interested in whether or not their opinion is true, but take the hint, they aren’t.

Superstition gets a pass in the New York Times

The Wall Street Journal regarding the outbreak of Ebola in Uganda notes:

The outbreak started and spread first within one family, said Rukia Nakamate, a spokeswoman for the Ugandan Ministry of Health. Initially, locals believed the illnesses were the result of an attack of evil spirits rather than one of the deadliest viruses known to man, and took the patients to a Christian religious shrine for prayers, where the first two victims died, she said.

“Some of the victims came into contact with many people, including churchgoers,” she said.

The New York Times article’s author appears to have crafted a dumb-downed rewrite (can we say plagiarism?) of the far more informative WSJ piece and in doing so chose to  leave this interesting factoid out (even though it could be germane to the spread of the deadly virus).

I thought I’d be different!

Lessee…I’ve tried Amway (in the 70′s), Tupperware and Mary Kay (in the 80′s) and I finally figured it out.  

Since then I’ve run from any person trying to get me into any business that requires that I continually recruit new marks in order to make money. Who among us (women especially!) haven’t been to a house “party” where part of the pitch is to “become a consultant, distributor, partner, etc.”

These companies, and hundreds more like them, rely on the inability of most people to do the math and apply some critical thinking.

There is No Way you can make a living just selling the product.  Like a pimp, you must constantly recruit and recruit and recruit. Seems to me if you want to make money you want more market share, not more competition! Furthermore, unless you get in on the ground floor of these highly unethical schemes, your chances of making any kind of go of it are next to nil.

Nice to see a website dedicated to the scam that is multi-level marketing. http://mlm-thetruth.com/

Proclamation

As it appears that no city or county in the state has seen fit to do this today, I have taken matters into my own bloggy hands. 

Proclamation

 WHEREAS, the application of reason, more than any other means, has proven to offer hope for human survival upon Earth, improving conditions within the universe, and cultivating intelligent, moral and ethical interactions among people and their environments, an

WHEREAS, those who wrote the Constitution of the United States of America, the basic document for governing the affairs of humankind within the United States, based it upon principles delineated within the philosophies distinguishing the historical Age of Reason, and

WHEREAS, most citizens of the United States purport to value reason and its application, and

WHEREAS, it is the duty and responsibility of every citizen to promote the development and application of reason

NOW, THEREFORE, I Carissa Snedeker, Proprietress of the Blue Lyon blog, hereby proclaim Thursday, the 3rd day of May, 2012 a

DAY OF REASON

and I encourage all citizens, residents and visitors to join in observing this day and focusing upon the employment of reason, critical thought, the scientific method, and free inquiry to the resolution of human problems and for the welfare of human kind.

IN WITNESS WHEREOF I hereunto set my hand and cause the Seal of Blue Lyon to be herein affixed.

Two hands working can do more than a thousand clasped in prayer.

~~~~

Memo from the Big Guy to those participating in today’s public displays of piety:  

“And when you pray, do not be like the hypocrites, for they love to pray standing in the synagogues and on the street corners to be seen by others. Truly I tell you, they have received their reward in full. But when you pray, go into your room, close the door and pray to your Father, who is unseen. Then your Father, who sees what is done in secret, will reward you. And when you pray, do not keep on babbling like pagans, for they think they will be heard because of their many words.”~ Matthew 6

Credulity is for children

“Thinking is skilled work. It is not true that we are naturally endowed with the ability to think clearly and logically – without learning how, or without practicing.” ~  Alfred Mander, Logic for the Millions, 1947

First off, let me apologize for being such a slacker lately.  I want to continue the blog, but I think this old baby needs an overhaul; a shift of focus, if you will.

Frankly, I’m tired of beating my head against the political wall, and as I alluded to a few posts back, I think our problems as a nation, and even as a species, have at its root the inability of vast swaths of us to separate fact from fiction and to make decisions based on sound evidence, reason, and critical thought.

 

 

 

cred·u·lous
adjective
1. willing to believe or trust too readily, especially without proper or adequate evidence; gullible.
2.  marked by or arising from credulity: a credulous rumor.

We humans are a credulous lot. And it may very well mean the end of us. Or at the very least, lead us to a life that will be “less than.”

Less than what it was before. Less than what it could be.

William K. Clifford, The Ethics of Belief, 1877:

It is not only the leader of men, statesmen, philosopher, or poet, that owes this bounden duty to mankind. Every rustic who delivers in the village alehouse his slow, infrequent sentences, may help to kill or keep alive the fatal superstitions which clog his race. Every hard-worked wife of an artisan may transmit to her children beliefs which shall knit society together, or rend it in pieces. No simplicity of mind, no obscurity of station, can escape the universal duty of questioning all that we believe.

It is true that this duty is a hard one, and the doubt which comes out of it is often a very bitter thing. It leaves us bare and powerless where we thought that we were safe and strong. To know all about anything is to know how to deal with it under all circumstances. We feel much happier and more secure when we think we know precisely what to do, no matter what happens, than when we have lost our way and do not know where to turn. And if we have supposed ourselves to know all about anything, and to be capable of doing what is fit in regard to it, we naturally do not like to find that we are really ignorant and powerless, that we have to begin again at the beginning, and try to learn what the thing is and how it is to be dealt with—if indeed anything can be learnt about it. It is the sense of power attached to a sense of knowledge that makes men desirous of believing, and afraid of doubting.

Richard Dawkins echoes this sentiment in Unweaving the Rainbow: Science, Delusion and the Appetite for Wonder. He writes in Chapter 6, Hoodwink’d with Faery Fancy:

My contention is that trusting credulity may be normal and healthy in a child but it can become and unhealthy and reprehensible gullibility in an adult. Growing up, in the fullest sense of the word, should include the cultivation of a healthy sceptism. An active readiness to be deceived can be called childish because it is common – and defensible – among children.  I suspect that its persistence in adults stems from a hankering after, indeed a pining for, the lost securities and comforts of childhood.

[ . . . ]

In childhood our credulity serves us well. It helps us to pack, with extraordinary rapidity, our skulls full of the wisdom of our parents and our ancestors. But if we don’t grow out of it in the fullness of time, our caterpillar nature makes us a sitting target for astrologers, mediums, gurus, evangelists and quacks.

I would add to that list: politicians and anyone else trying to manipulate our actions for their benefit.

It may be easier to blindly believe, but it doesn’t serve us.  Further, it doesn’t serve our community, our country, or the future of our species. If we allow ourselves and others to engage in sloppy reasoning, how can we know that the information given us is valid? Moreover,  how can our neighbor or friend trust anything we insist is true if we are squishy in our rigor elsewhere, whether it is because we think a particular belief is not of any consequence or because, and this is worse,  that belief fits in with our world view?

Michael Shermer explains the various ways we strengthen our beliefs in his July 2011 Scientific American article, The Believing Brain: Why Science Is the Only Way Out of Belief-Dependent Realism:

Once we form beliefs and make commitments to them, we maintain and reinforce them through a number of powerful cognitive biases that distort our percepts to fit belief concepts. Among them are:

Anchoring Bias. Relying too heavily on one reference anchor or piece of information when making decisions.

Authority Bias. Valuing the opinions of an authority, especially in the evaluation of something we know little about.

Belief Bias. Evaluating the strength of an argument based on the believability of its conclusion.

Confirmation Bias. Seeking and finding confirming evidence in support of already existing beliefs and ignoring or reinterpreting disconfirming evidence.

On top of all these biases, there is the in-group bias, in which we place more value on the beliefs of those whom we perceive to be fellow members of our group and less on the beliefs of those from different groups. This is a result of our evolved tribal brains leading us not only to place such value judgment on beliefs but also to demonize and dismiss them as nonsense or evil, or both.

Belief-dependent realism is driven even deeper by a meta-bias called the bias blind spot, or the tendency to recognize the power of cognitive biases in other people but to be blind to their influence on our own beliefs. Even scientists are not immune, subject to experimenter-expectation bias, or the tendency for observers to notice, select and publish data that agree with their expectations for the outcome of an experiment and to ignore, discard or disbelieve data that do not. 

We all do it. We all have our blind spots.  The solution is being able to acknowledge this fact and to develop tools for mitigating this very human tendency.

William Clifford again:

Every time we let ourselves believe for unworthy reasons, we weaken our powers of self-control, of doubting, of judicially and fairly weighing evidence. We all suffer severely enough from the maintenance and support of false beliefs and the fatally wrong actions which they lead to, and the evil born when one such belief is entertained is great and wide. But a greater and wider evil arises when the credulous character is maintained and supported, when a habit of believing for unworthy reasons is fostered and made permanent.  [ . . . ]  if I let myself believe anything on insufficient evidence, there may be no great harm done by the mere belief; it may be true after all, or I may never have occasion to exhibit it in outward acts. But I cannot help doing this great wrong towards Man, that I make myself credulous. The danger to society is not merely that it should believe wrong things, though that is great enough; but that it should become credulous, and lose the habit of testing things and inquiring into them; for then it must sink back into savagery.

The harm which is done by credulity in a man is not confined to the fostering of a credulous character in others, and consequent support of false beliefs. Habitual want of care about what I believe leads to habitual want of care in others about the truth of what is told to me. Men speak the truth to one another when each reveres the truth in his own mind and in the other’s mind; but how shall my friend revere the truth in my mind when I myself am careless about it, when I believe things because I want to believe them, and because they are comforting and pleasant? Will he not learn to cry, “Peace,” to me, when there is no peace? By such a course I shall surround myself with a thick atmosphere of falsehood and fraud, and in that I must live. It may matter little to me, in my cloud-castle of sweet illusions and darling lies; but it matters much to Man that I have made my neighbours ready to deceive.The credulous man is father to the liar and the cheat; he lives in the bosom of this his family, and it is no marvel if he should become even as they are. So closely are our duties knit together, that whoso shall keep the whole law, and yet offend in one point, he is guilty of all.

To sum up: it is wrong always, everywhere, and for anyone, to believe anything upon insufficient evidence.

(Blue Lyon note: I have only pulled a couple of snippets from the ten-page essay. I highly recommend that you read the entire piece.)

I’ve never been one much for merely standing on the sidelines and yelling “You’re doing it wrong!!”  If I see a problem, I want to be part of the solution. If the country suffers from a dearth of critical thinking, what can I do to (A) make sure I learn those skills for myself and (B) encourage other people to desire (and learn) to be critical thinkers too? And we all need to be critical thinkers.  But I’m fifty-five years old. If my genes hold out the way the rest of my family’s has, I may have another 30 years or so on this blue orb.  And time’s a wastin’.

Surely, it is of the utmost importance that we teach our children how to think critically, but not in a way that bores the shit out of them. Should I try to become a teacher?  The thought appeals to me, but given the time commitment required to get a teaching credential, not to mention the money, I’m not so sure that’s the best option for me. Still, I’m dipping my toe in up at UNR and we’ll see if that leads anywhere.

In the meantime, what about us grown-ups?  We are the ones making decisions and purchases based on information we are fed by those whose motivations may or may not be suspect. We are the ones falling hook, line, and sinker for all manner of pseudoscience, quack medicine and self-serving politicians. 

“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan

We can figure out when we’re being bamboozled.  We can learn to identify an claim that is made using faulty reasoning. We can learn not only that statistics can be manipulated, but how.

In other words, we can start using what Carl Sagan called the Baloney Detection Kit.

 We can learn to apply critical thinking if we want to. The question is, do we? Are we willing to give up some of our sacred cows for a clearer vision of the world?

I know I am. In the days and months ahead, I hope to provide more content relative to this goal. I hope you will find it of use.

Just SAY it!

I. Love. This.

This is precisely what infuriates me. We have a functional moron running for the presidency, and a small crop of presumably pro-science people are busily trying to shush the opposition up so they can work their clever psycho-mojo and gently enlighten Perry by…I don’t know, wiggling their fingers, thinking happy thoughts, or maybe they’re going to use The Force.

Perry is a disastrously bad candidate (as is Bachmann). Call me a radical, but maybe it’s a good idea for the opposition to oppose them, openly, and with thorough, rational explanations? And if the candidate is an ignoramus, as Perry clearly is, SAY IT.

[ . . . ]

What Dawkins does, as do many of us on the side the accommodationists hate, is provide sharp, clear, strong positions. What Dawkins does in that op-ed is play the role of Joseph Welch, confronting wicked folly and stating his position lucidly and with acid contempt for the forces of ignorance and deception.

You’ve done enough. Have you no sense of decency, sir? At long last, have you left no sense of decency?

If Jamie Vernon had been writing in 1954, he would no doubt have castigated Welch for his harshness, and suggested some compromise…perhaps a few more hearings, helpfully exposing a few more Communists, perhaps asking for a little more respect for the distinguished senator from Wisconsin, Joe McCarthy.

This accommodationist view could also accurately describe just about everything about today’s Democratic Party.